Race 12A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Rayne Duff 10.3% 8.2% 10.2% 10.3% 9.0% 9.4% 10.7% 10.3% 9.6% 6.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 13.3% 14.8% 14.3% 10.4% 12.8% 10.2% 7.6% 7.4% 4.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Oliver Stokke 14.4% 15.5% 12.4% 10.7% 11.8% 10.5% 10.1% 5.0% 5.0% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Katherine McNamara 10.5% 10.2% 10.5% 11.5% 10.9% 9.1% 9.5% 9.4% 7.9% 6.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Joshua Dillon 6.1% 5.8% 6.2% 8.4% 7.2% 6.4% 8.9% 10.8% 11.9% 13.2% 8.4% 5.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Tyler Nash 11.9% 10.6% 11.7% 11.9% 11.0% 9.9% 8.7% 8.9% 7.1% 5.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Quinn 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 3.6% 3.1% 6.3% 7.3% 11.9% 17.4% 20.5% 18.3% 0.0%
Caden Scheiblauer 12.0% 10.6% 10.8% 11.7% 9.8% 10.2% 10.5% 10.4% 6.3% 4.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 1.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 4.9% 8.0% 16.8% 21.7% 31.6% 0.0%
Jack Flores 8.3% 9.5% 8.6% 8.9% 9.8% 9.6% 10.3% 8.4% 9.6% 8.7% 5.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.0% 0.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 3.3% 2.3% 4.0% 6.0% 9.5% 15.5% 22.0% 31.3% 0.0%
Madison Suh 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 4.8% 4.8% 5.0% 8.5% 12.8% 17.6% 20.7% 14.9% 0.0%
Luke Zylinski 7.4% 8.2% 7.6% 8.4% 8.3% 10.9% 10.7% 10.7% 11.5% 8.0% 5.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Lucas Quinn 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 3.6% 3.1% 6.3% 7.3% 11.9% 17.4% 20.5% 18.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.