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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+8.35vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+7.53vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+3.19vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+4.25vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.02+1.51vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-1.97vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13+5.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.93+2.88vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.51+0.25vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.55vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.20-4.65vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.71vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.51vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.60-5.54vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.77-4.07vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.13-1.96vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.16-3.74vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.51-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.35Northeastern University1.224.0%1st Place
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9.53Boston University1.144.8%1st Place
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6.19Boston College2.0910.0%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University2.105.5%1st Place
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6.51Tulane University2.029.5%1st Place
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4.03Yale University2.4220.5%1st Place
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12.01Fordham University1.132.7%1st Place
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10.88Tufts University0.933.0%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College1.514.5%1st Place
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9.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.7%1st Place
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6.35Georgetown University2.208.9%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.9%1st Place
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12.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.561.9%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College1.605.1%1st Place
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10.93Florida State University0.773.3%1st Place
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14.04University of Vermont-0.131.5%1st Place
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13.26Northwestern University0.161.5%1st Place
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12.74University of Hawaii0.511.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.5% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brook Wood | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 28.2% |
| Grace Bray | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.8% |
| Martha Schuessler | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.