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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+4.04vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.54+4.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.90+2.14vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.96+3.59vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29-0.90vs Predicted
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61.15+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.11+0.10vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.12-3.52vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.30-4.81vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.70-1.78vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.20-1.70vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-1.21vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.11-5.90vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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6.09Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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5.14Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.59Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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4.1Brown University2.290.2%1st Place
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6.971.150.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Wisconsin1.110.1%1st Place
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4.48Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.19Roger Williams University2.300.2%1st Place
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8.22Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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9.3The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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10.79SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Wisconsin1.110.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 17.3% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Abe Weston | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 21.0% | 17.6% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 34.1% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Abe Weston | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 19.1% | 61.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.