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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+2.91vs Predicted
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21.15+4.43vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.12+1.39vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.11+1.45vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.77-0.93vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.90-2.44vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-3.47vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.70-1.56vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.05vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.11-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Roger Williams University2.300.2%1st Place
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6.431.150.1%1st Place
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4.39Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.01Brown University2.290.2%1st Place
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6.45University of Wisconsin1.110.1%1st Place
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5.07Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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4.56Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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7.44Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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9.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Wisconsin1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 15.8% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 13.9% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abe Weston | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 12.8% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 21.6% | 15.9% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 33.5% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 23.6% | 55.2% | 0.0% |
| Abe Weston | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.