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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+2.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+1.85vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.12+1.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+0.82vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.90-0.24vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.77-1.00vs Predicted
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71.15-0.75vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.70-0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.11-2.41vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.74vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.11-4.41vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Roger Williams University2.300.2%1st Place
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3.85Brown University2.290.2%1st Place
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4.38Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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4.76Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.0Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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6.251.150.1%1st Place
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7.28Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Wisconsin1.110.1%1st Place
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9.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Wisconsin1.110.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 15.6% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 18.3% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 13.7% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Abe Weston | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 31.9% | 32.2% | 0.0% |
| Abe Weston | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 24.6% | 55.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.