Race 9B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olin Guck 5.4% 5.1% 6.7% 8.0% 6.9% 8.5% 12.0% 15.0% 13.4% 11.9% 5.8% 1.3% 0.0%
Bradley Whiteway 11.5% 13.1% 11.4% 11.6% 12.0% 12.2% 10.1% 9.2% 5.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Pfrang 17.7% 14.0% 15.3% 13.3% 12.5% 11.0% 7.2% 4.8% 3.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Abe Weston 4.3% 4.8% 6.7% 7.3% 10.2% 8.3% 10.7% 13.6% 15.7% 10.9% 6.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 2.9% 3.9% 3.7% 4.7% 7.7% 7.3% 8.9% 11.5% 16.2% 17.6% 11.4% 4.2% 0.0%
Calvin Schmid 10.5% 9.0% 11.4% 11.2% 11.3% 11.3% 11.9% 10.8% 7.2% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Will Priebe 14.8% 16.5% 12.1% 12.4% 12.3% 10.6% 8.9% 6.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 18.8% 16.7% 12.9% 12.8% 9.7% 11.6% 7.8% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Abe Weston 4.3% 4.8% 6.7% 7.3% 10.2% 8.3% 10.7% 13.6% 15.7% 10.9% 6.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Shea Smith 9.7% 12.4% 15.1% 14.1% 10.1% 11.1% 10.5% 7.4% 6.3% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 3.8% 3.8% 6.5% 8.7% 14.5% 20.9% 20.7% 10.3% 0.0%
Jessica Schaefer 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 0.9% 2.2% 2.2% 3.6% 5.0% 7.9% 15.6% 30.2% 28.9% 0.0%
Kai Latham 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 3.2% 3.4% 8.9% 22.4% 53.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.