Race 10B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olin Guck 5.1% 5.8% 6.8% 7.8% 6.3% 8.7% 14.2% 12.1% 15.8% 11.4% 5.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Will Priebe 13.6% 17.3% 11.0% 11.9% 14.4% 11.4% 7.4% 6.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Shea Smith 12.5% 10.7% 12.5% 11.2% 12.0% 11.5% 10.9% 10.2% 5.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Pfrang 16.6% 16.4% 15.8% 13.4% 12.2% 9.5% 6.9% 4.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 8.2% 9.4% 9.6% 9.9% 11.1% 11.8% 9.9% 11.6% 9.9% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 19.4% 13.7% 14.6% 13.1% 12.2% 9.8% 8.1% 5.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abe Weston 5.3% 6.8% 6.6% 8.1% 7.8% 9.4% 10.2% 14.4% 13.3% 12.1% 4.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 4.1% 5.4% 6.0% 8.9% 12.5% 21.7% 21.5% 8.4% 0.0%
Abe Weston 5.3% 6.8% 6.6% 8.1% 7.8% 9.4% 10.2% 14.4% 13.3% 12.1% 4.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Bradley Whiteway 11.4% 11.9% 14.8% 14.3% 10.8% 11.4% 10.8% 6.1% 5.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Andy Giaya 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 2.9% 8.0% 19.6% 60.2% 0.0%
Jessica Schaefer 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 4.8% 4.7% 7.5% 15.4% 33.1% 25.8% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 3.4% 4.0% 3.5% 4.7% 5.6% 8.0% 8.8% 13.2% 17.3% 16.2% 12.4% 2.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.