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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.85vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.93+9.37vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+1.68vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.13+8.58vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77+6.83vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.99+4.58vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-0.08vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51+2.09vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.42-4.63vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22+0.28vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.84vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13+2.57vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.10-4.24vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-3.94vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.16-1.30vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.02-9.04vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-7.63vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-10.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Georgetown University2.208.3%1st Place
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11.37Tufts University0.933.3%1st Place
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4.68Dartmouth College2.7515.4%1st Place
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12.58Fordham University1.131.7%1st Place
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11.83Florida State University0.772.3%1st Place
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10.58University of Hawaii0.993.4%1st Place
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6.92Boston College2.098.1%1st Place
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10.09Bowdoin College1.514.0%1st Place
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4.37Yale University2.4218.3%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University1.223.1%1st Place
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10.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.9%1st Place
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14.57University of Vermont-0.130.9%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University2.104.5%1st Place
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10.06Boston University1.143.0%1st Place
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13.7Northwestern University0.161.1%1st Place
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6.96Tulane University2.027.8%1st Place
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.0%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 7.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 34.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Grace Bray | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 21.7% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.