Race 11B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Everett Botwinick 7.9% 7.6% 8.8% 9.4% 10.8% 11.3% 11.4% 13.3% 10.8% 6.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Will Priebe 13.6% 16.0% 13.6% 13.5% 11.1% 10.7% 9.7% 6.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Pfrang 18.1% 15.6% 15.2% 12.7% 11.9% 10.0% 8.5% 5.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Whiteway 10.3% 14.2% 12.3% 14.1% 11.9% 9.9% 10.2% 8.4% 5.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 3.0% 4.0% 4.4% 5.2% 6.5% 7.4% 8.2% 12.1% 16.2% 17.8% 12.6% 2.6% 0.0%
Shea Smith 13.2% 9.9% 11.8% 12.8% 11.6% 11.5% 11.3% 8.9% 5.1% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 18.6% 17.1% 14.8% 11.9% 11.5% 10.0% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 2.3% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.8% 5.8% 9.8% 13.2% 19.6% 24.1% 7.3% 0.0%
Abe Weston 5.1% 4.8% 7.3% 7.6% 9.4% 10.1% 11.5% 12.7% 15.4% 9.5% 5.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Olin Guck 5.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.0% 8.0% 10.5% 11.9% 11.2% 15.3% 11.2% 4.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Andy Giaya 1.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 8.2% 16.1% 65.0% 0.0%
Jessica Schaefer 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 3.1% 2.5% 5.1% 8.3% 18.0% 33.3% 22.3% 0.0%
Abe Weston 5.1% 4.8% 7.3% 7.6% 9.4% 10.1% 11.5% 12.7% 15.4% 9.5% 5.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.