Race 12B

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kyle Pfrang 17.0% 17.0% 14.4% 14.7% 11.7% 8.0% 8.1% 4.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Olin Guck 5.6% 4.9% 8.0% 6.4% 7.9% 10.4% 11.8% 11.9% 12.3% 11.7% 6.1% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Bradley Whiteway 10.7% 12.9% 12.0% 11.2% 12.8% 11.7% 10.1% 8.5% 6.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Shea Smith 12.8% 9.8% 13.2% 13.2% 10.8% 10.9% 10.2% 9.1% 5.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 18.5% 15.3% 15.3% 13.2% 10.9% 10.0% 7.2% 4.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 8.2% 9.6% 8.5% 8.7% 12.3% 11.9% 11.2% 10.3% 9.1% 5.6% 4.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Will Priebe 15.1% 13.9% 13.2% 12.5% 13.0% 11.0% 6.9% 7.3% 4.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Abe Weston 5.3% 7.1% 5.8% 8.0% 6.6% 9.1% 11.1% 14.9% 11.9% 11.6% 5.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Ossian Kamal 3.1% 4.7% 3.9% 5.2% 5.9% 5.5% 9.1% 10.1% 15.5% 15.7% 13.8% 6.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Abe Weston 5.3% 7.1% 5.8% 8.0% 6.6% 9.1% 11.1% 14.9% 11.9% 11.6% 5.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
James Knowlton 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 2.7% 3.7% 4.9% 9.0% 17.0% 27.9% 26.2% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 1.6% 2.7% 1.7% 4.2% 4.1% 5.0% 6.7% 9.3% 13.4% 17.2% 17.6% 11.9% 4.6% 0.0%
Andy Giaya 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 2.0% 4.1% 5.6% 11.5% 22.0% 49.7% 0.0%
Jessica Schaefer 1.2% 0.5% 2.1% 1.0% 1.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.4% 6.9% 12.4% 21.0% 25.8% 16.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.