Race 1A

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jasper Waldman 23.6% 19.6% 16.2% 12.3% 10.0% 8.5% 5.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.7%
Carly Mraz 13.8% 13.5% 14.4% 14.3% 12.5% 11.2% 8.7% 6.4% 4.4% 0.8%
Chase O'Malley 9.0% 10.0% 10.3% 10.8% 12.6% 13.2% 12.8% 12.0% 6.8% 2.5%
Patrick Cashin 7.9% 9.1% 11.3% 12.1% 12.5% 13.2% 11.2% 12.5% 7.2% 3.0%
Joseph Bonacci 19.6% 17.7% 15.7% 15.2% 11.9% 8.6% 5.3% 4.4% 1.0% 0.6%
Julia Priebke 3.4% 3.0% 3.7% 3.3% 5.2% 5.1% 8.3% 12.0% 23.6% 32.4%
Tamryn Whyte 1.2% 2.5% 1.9% 2.8% 3.9% 5.0% 6.4% 9.3% 22.5% 44.5%
Rose von Eckartsberg 7.2% 8.6% 10.4% 8.9% 11.0% 13.2% 12.9% 12.5% 10.6% 4.7%
Ashley Franklin 7.3% 6.8% 7.8% 9.9% 11.4% 10.2% 14.0% 15.4% 12.1% 5.1%
William Roberts 7.0% 9.2% 8.3% 10.4% 9.0% 11.8% 15.0% 12.4% 11.2% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.