Race 2A

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Bonacci 20.2% 18.9% 15.4% 12.6% 10.4% 9.6% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 0.4%
Jasper Waldman 22.4% 18.7% 16.8% 13.1% 10.2% 8.8% 5.0% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Carly Mraz 13.8% 13.1% 14.7% 12.1% 14.1% 12.1% 9.3% 5.8% 3.7% 1.3%
Chase O'Malley 8.6% 10.4% 12.3% 12.6% 12.7% 10.9% 11.2% 11.6% 7.3% 2.4%
Rose von Eckartsberg 8.8% 7.9% 8.1% 9.8% 10.6% 10.8% 14.8% 14.1% 10.5% 4.6%
Julia Priebke 3.2% 3.5% 3.2% 3.6% 4.3% 6.6% 8.1% 11.1% 23.1% 33.3%
Patrick Cashin 8.0% 9.0% 10.9% 11.8% 12.4% 13.2% 11.4% 11.9% 8.7% 2.7%
Tamryn Whyte 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.7% 4.5% 4.8% 6.4% 10.7% 20.2% 43.7%
Ashley Franklin 6.8% 7.8% 7.8% 10.2% 10.1% 12.0% 14.4% 12.5% 12.4% 6.0%
William Roberts 6.4% 8.9% 8.4% 10.5% 10.7% 11.2% 14.2% 13.5% 10.7% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.