Race 3A

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Bonacci 19.6% 19.4% 16.5% 13.2% 9.1% 8.7% 7.5% 3.1% 2.4% 0.5%
Jasper Waldman 22.6% 19.2% 15.9% 13.8% 11.4% 6.6% 5.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Carly Mraz 14.2% 13.2% 13.2% 13.7% 12.9% 11.9% 10.0% 7.1% 2.8% 1.0%
Chase O'Malley 8.6% 10.0% 11.9% 12.5% 13.3% 11.2% 12.0% 10.6% 7.5% 2.4%
Patrick Cashin 10.1% 9.6% 9.6% 10.4% 12.7% 13.9% 12.2% 10.8% 8.0% 2.7%
Rose von Eckartsberg 8.2% 7.7% 9.1% 9.6% 11.6% 13.3% 12.2% 12.0% 11.5% 4.8%
Julia Priebke 2.1% 2.1% 3.3% 3.8% 4.4% 6.3% 8.6% 12.7% 26.3% 30.4%
Tamryn Whyte 1.8% 1.5% 2.7% 3.8% 3.9% 4.6% 7.5% 9.3% 18.3% 46.6%
Ashley Franklin 6.8% 7.8% 8.7% 9.4% 11.0% 10.9% 11.5% 16.4% 11.7% 5.8%
William Roberts 6.0% 9.5% 9.1% 9.8% 9.7% 12.6% 12.9% 14.2% 10.5% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.