Race 4A

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jasper Waldman 24.9% 18.7% 15.7% 10.9% 12.4% 7.2% 5.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
William Roberts 8.2% 5.5% 9.4% 10.1% 10.7% 11.4% 14.5% 12.5% 12.5% 5.2%
Joseph Bonacci 18.5% 17.3% 14.9% 16.1% 11.8% 9.5% 5.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.2%
Patrick Cashin 8.2% 8.9% 11.6% 11.6% 12.8% 12.8% 12.7% 9.9% 8.6% 2.9%
Chase O'Malley 9.5% 11.7% 9.0% 12.0% 12.6% 12.2% 12.2% 11.3% 7.2% 2.3%
Ashley Franklin 8.0% 7.9% 7.7% 8.9% 10.8% 10.3% 13.1% 15.1% 13.0% 5.2%
Carly Mraz 12.0% 15.7% 15.4% 14.1% 13.0% 11.0% 9.2% 5.8% 2.9% 0.9%
Rose von Eckartsberg 6.6% 9.2% 10.2% 10.0% 8.5% 14.5% 11.1% 14.2% 9.8% 5.9%
Julia Priebke 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.6% 3.7% 6.3% 9.5% 13.2% 23.0% 32.1%
Tamryn Whyte 1.6% 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 3.7% 4.8% 6.6% 10.9% 19.7% 44.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.