Race 5A

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jasper Waldman 24.5% 20.2% 14.1% 12.6% 10.3% 8.9% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
William Roberts 7.7% 5.8% 9.2% 10.5% 10.8% 12.4% 13.1% 11.5% 13.4% 5.6%
Chase O'Malley 9.4% 9.8% 10.4% 9.3% 13.0% 12.2% 15.1% 11.0% 7.4% 2.4%
Carly Mraz 13.5% 13.8% 15.3% 14.0% 12.0% 12.1% 8.0% 7.8% 3.0% 0.5%
Joseph Bonacci 18.5% 18.7% 16.3% 16.1% 11.4% 7.6% 5.3% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5%
Patrick Cashin 9.9% 9.8% 9.3% 11.5% 12.1% 12.2% 12.2% 11.8% 8.0% 3.2%
Ashley Franklin 5.4% 8.1% 8.9% 10.1% 10.5% 12.6% 12.6% 14.2% 12.2% 5.4%
Rose von Eckartsberg 7.2% 9.0% 9.5% 9.1% 12.2% 10.5% 13.1% 14.6% 9.2% 5.6%
Julia Priebke 2.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.7% 4.2% 6.6% 8.7% 11.6% 25.2% 31.0%
Tamryn Whyte 1.7% 1.8% 3.2% 3.1% 3.5% 4.9% 6.8% 10.8% 18.8% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.