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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.46+4.03vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.09+2.32vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.21+0.74vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80+1.85vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.60vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.73-0.35vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.34-3.60vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.52-2.80vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-1.80-1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.07-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.32Princeton University-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.74Washington College0.210.2%1st Place
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5.85Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.65Princeton University-0.730.1%1st Place
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3.4Princeton University0.340.2%1st Place
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5.2Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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7.9Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 18.3% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ashley Franklin | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 4.6% |
| William Roberts | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 4.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 20.4% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Cashin | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Julia Priebke | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 24.2% | 31.9% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 19.2% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.