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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.34+2.37vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.21+1.66vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.46+2.14vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.09+0.27vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.52+0.17vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.73-0.35vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-1.80+0.98vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.07-0.68vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Princeton University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.66Washington College0.210.2%1st Place
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5.14Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.27Princeton University-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.17Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.65Princeton University-0.730.1%1st Place
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7.98Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
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5.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
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5.87Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 22.6% | 20.4% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 19.2% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Chase O'Malley | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Cashin | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| William Roberts | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 4.9% |
| Julia Priebke | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 24.2% | 32.6% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 4.5% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 45.2% |
| Ashley Franklin | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.