Race 8A

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Bonacci 18.4% 20.1% 17.0% 13.3% 10.4% 6.8% 7.8% 3.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Ashley Franklin 7.2% 6.1% 8.4% 9.4% 9.9% 14.4% 12.1% 14.7% 11.6% 6.2%
Carly Mraz 13.7% 14.3% 13.1% 12.5% 14.7% 10.8% 10.1% 6.8% 2.9% 1.1%
Jasper Waldman 21.4% 19.8% 16.7% 15.3% 9.4% 7.8% 5.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.3%
Chase O'Malley 11.1% 9.4% 11.2% 11.2% 12.0% 13.6% 11.4% 10.6% 7.4% 2.1%
Patrick Cashin 10.0% 10.0% 9.2% 10.8% 14.2% 12.2% 11.1% 11.2% 8.6% 2.7%
Julia Priebke 2.1% 1.9% 3.4% 3.6% 5.2% 6.7% 7.5% 11.5% 27.3% 30.8%
Tamryn Whyte 1.9% 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 3.6% 4.7% 7.3% 11.3% 17.5% 46.0%
William Roberts 7.5% 8.2% 8.2% 10.8% 11.2% 10.9% 13.0% 14.1% 11.0% 5.1%
Rose von Eckartsberg 6.7% 8.3% 10.0% 10.1% 9.4% 12.1% 14.5% 13.1% 10.7% 5.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.