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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+3.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+2.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+5.91vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+6.18vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+1.93vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+4.16vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13+5.51vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.73vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.13vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51+0.11vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.77+0.55vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-0.55vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.16+0.67vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-7.09vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-5.01vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.02-8.85vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii0.99-6.65vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.13-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Dartmouth College2.7516.1%1st Place
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4.17Yale University2.4219.2%1st Place
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8.91Harvard University2.104.2%1st Place
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10.18Boston University1.143.6%1st Place
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6.93Boston College2.097.8%1st Place
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10.16Northeastern University1.223.8%1st Place
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12.51Fordham University1.131.8%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.2%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.0%1st Place
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10.11Bowdoin College1.513.6%1st Place
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11.55Florida State University0.772.3%1st Place
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11.45Tufts University0.932.4%1st Place
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13.67Northwestern University0.161.4%1st Place
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6.91Georgetown University2.208.9%1st Place
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9.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.6%1st Place
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7.15Tulane University2.026.9%1st Place
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10.35University of Hawaii0.993.5%1st Place
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14.78University of Vermont-0.130.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.1% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.2% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% |
| Grace Bray | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 17.4% | 21.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.