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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.34+2.38vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.21+1.68vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.46+2.17vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.09+0.27vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.73+0.67vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.52-0.79vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-1.17vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-1.80-0.17vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-3.37vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.07-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Princeton University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.68Washington College0.210.2%1st Place
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5.17Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.27Princeton University-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.67Princeton University-0.730.1%1st Place
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5.21Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.83Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
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7.83Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
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5.63SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 22.8% | 21.9% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 18.5% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Chase O'Malley | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 13.2% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| William Roberts | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 4.5% |
| Patrick Cashin | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Ashley Franklin | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 6.4% |
| Julia Priebke | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 25.5% | 31.3% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 19.7% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.