Race 10A

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Bonacci 20.9% 18.4% 13.8% 14.2% 11.5% 9.5% 4.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
Carly Mraz 13.9% 14.6% 13.5% 14.1% 11.2% 11.1% 9.7% 7.3% 3.8% 0.8%
William Roberts 7.6% 7.2% 8.5% 8.4% 10.4% 12.5% 14.0% 14.7% 11.9% 4.8%
Patrick Cashin 8.2% 9.0% 12.8% 10.3% 12.8% 11.6% 13.3% 10.3% 9.0% 2.7%
Ashley Franklin 7.5% 7.3% 8.1% 9.7% 10.8% 11.3% 13.3% 15.3% 11.5% 5.2%
Jasper Waldman 22.7% 19.5% 14.9% 14.1% 11.5% 8.0% 5.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Chase O'Malley 8.2% 10.3% 12.4% 12.2% 12.3% 14.3% 11.9% 11.0% 4.7% 2.7%
Rose von Eckartsberg 7.0% 9.2% 9.4% 9.0% 11.2% 11.7% 12.7% 13.4% 10.7% 5.7%
Julia Priebke 2.3% 2.5% 3.8% 4.3% 4.7% 5.7% 9.0% 11.4% 24.4% 31.9%
Tamryn Whyte 1.7% 2.0% 2.8% 3.7% 3.6% 4.3% 6.1% 9.5% 21.1% 45.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.