Race 11A

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Carly Mraz 15.4% 14.0% 14.9% 12.3% 11.7% 11.5% 8.3% 7.3% 3.3% 1.3%
Jasper Waldman 22.2% 18.7% 15.8% 14.8% 10.9% 8.4% 4.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Chase O'Malley 9.4% 10.1% 10.1% 9.7% 12.0% 14.1% 14.0% 10.8% 7.0% 2.8%
Joseph Bonacci 19.1% 18.3% 15.1% 14.4% 14.0% 7.2% 5.6% 4.3% 1.8% 0.2%
Patrick Cashin 9.4% 9.0% 11.3% 10.9% 12.1% 12.2% 12.1% 12.2% 7.7% 3.1%
William Roberts 8.4% 7.3% 7.8% 11.1% 10.4% 11.9% 12.3% 13.5% 12.8% 4.5%
Ashley Franklin 5.0% 8.9% 9.0% 8.9% 10.7% 11.9% 14.2% 13.6% 12.3% 5.5%
Rose von Eckartsberg 7.0% 8.7% 11.0% 9.1% 10.2% 11.8% 14.8% 12.1% 10.1% 5.2%
Julia Priebke 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 4.9% 4.6% 5.3% 8.5% 12.1% 24.5% 31.9%
Tamryn Whyte 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 3.9% 3.4% 5.7% 5.8% 11.0% 19.0% 45.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.