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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.61+2.77vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.78+2.16vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.11+0.03vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.33-0.69vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-1.07vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.92-1.72vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-2.65+0.27vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-3.79+0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-3.18-1.07vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-3.75-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Washington College-0.610.2%1st Place
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4.16Princeton University-0.780.1%1st Place
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3.03Princeton University-0.110.2%1st Place
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3.31Columbia University-0.330.2%1st Place
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3.93Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.28Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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7.27Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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8.66Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Delaware-3.180.0%1st Place
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8.67SUNY Stony Brook-3.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartley Meyer | 15.9% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 11.6% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Richard Kertatos | 23.6% | 21.4% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Yuen | 19.3% | 20.3% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 13.4% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ella Kilgore | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 26.1% | 26.2% | 17.3% | 7.3% |
| Joseph Bitterman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 18.4% | 27.3% | 37.5% |
| Phillip Furlong | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 6.3% | 15.8% | 26.5% | 26.9% | 16.3% |
| Hannah Forcone | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 26.6% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.