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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.33+2.32vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.11+1.00vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.78+1.20vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.07vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.61-1.23vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-2.65+1.14vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.92-2.62vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-3.79+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-3.18-1.06vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-3.75-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Columbia University-0.330.2%1st Place
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3.0Princeton University-0.110.2%1st Place
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4.2Princeton University-0.780.1%1st Place
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3.93Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.77Washington College-0.610.1%1st Place
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7.14Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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4.38Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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8.68Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Delaware-3.180.0%1st Place
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8.65SUNY Stony Brook-3.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Yuen | 22.3% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 24.9% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 12.4% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 12.0% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hartley Meyer | 14.9% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ella Kilgore | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 25.3% | 26.1% | 16.2% | 7.5% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 9.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Bitterman | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 8.7% | 18.3% | 26.8% | 38.2% |
| Phillip Furlong | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 14.6% | 29.9% | 26.3% | 15.9% |
| Hannah Forcone | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 28.1% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.