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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.08+0.84vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.61+2.11vs Predicted
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3Villanova University-1.09+2.03vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+0.19vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.33-1.41vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-3.75+2.71vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.92-2.35vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.64-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-3.23-0.82vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-3.79-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Princeton University1.080.5%1st Place
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4.11Washington College-0.610.1%1st Place
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5.03Villanova University-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.19Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.59Columbia University-0.330.1%1st Place
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8.71SUNY Stony Brook-3.750.0%1st Place
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4.65Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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5.83Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Delaware-3.230.0%1st Place
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8.86Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 53.8% | 23.8% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hartley Meyer | 9.4% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 5.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Maguire | 7.5% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Yuen | 13.8% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 20.5% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Forcone | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 17.4% | 30.1% | 38.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 5.7% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 24.4% | 17.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Ian Kaplan | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 28.9% | 33.0% | 17.9% |
| Joseph Bitterman | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 17.2% | 28.6% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.