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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.01vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+6.44vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.51+6.83vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.13+8.13vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+2.26vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.54vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+2.87vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.77+3.42vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.60-0.33vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.13+3.55vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.13vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-3.65vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.02-7.29vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.20-8.54vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.99-5.69vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.93-5.69vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.16-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Yale University2.4220.8%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University2.105.3%1st Place
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9.83Bowdoin College1.513.9%1st Place
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12.13Fordham University1.132.5%1st Place
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7.26Boston College2.408.5%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.0%1st Place
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9.87Boston University1.144.3%1st Place
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11.42Florida State University0.772.5%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College1.604.9%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University1.224.7%1st Place
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14.55University of Vermont-0.131.4%1st Place
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9.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.3%1st Place
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9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.1%1st Place
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6.71Tulane University2.028.6%1st Place
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6.46Georgetown University2.209.7%1st Place
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10.31University of Hawaii0.993.1%1st Place
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11.31Tufts University0.932.9%1st Place
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13.56Northwestern University0.161.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 20.8% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 34.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Grace Bray | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.