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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.08+0.86vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.61+2.10vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+1.26vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.33-0.35vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-1.09-0.09vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.92-1.40vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.64-1.10vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-3.18+0.10vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-3.79-0.17vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-3.75-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Princeton University1.080.5%1st Place
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4.1Washington College-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.26Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.65Columbia University-0.330.1%1st Place
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4.91Villanova University-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.6Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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5.9Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Delaware-3.180.0%1st Place
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8.83Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
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8.8SUNY Stony Brook-3.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 51.4% | 26.8% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hartley Meyer | 9.7% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Maguire | 9.5% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Yuen | 10.9% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 7.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 6.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 2.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 25.4% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Phillip Furlong | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 28.9% | 29.7% | 18.5% |
| Joseph Bitterman | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 16.0% | 33.0% | 39.6% |
| Hannah Forcone | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 19.6% | 28.3% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.