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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.61+3.05vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.08-0.21vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.33+0.69vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.09+0.96vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.79vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-3.75+2.74vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.92-2.27vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-3.18+0.10vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.64-3.13vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-3.79-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Washington College-0.610.1%1st Place
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1.79Princeton University1.080.5%1st Place
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3.69Columbia University-0.330.1%1st Place
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4.96Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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4.21Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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8.74SUNY Stony Brook-3.750.0%1st Place
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4.73Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Delaware-3.180.0%1st Place
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5.87Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.86Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartley Meyer | 11.4% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 51.5% | 27.7% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Yuen | 12.4% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 4.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kayla Maguire | 9.5% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Forcone | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 18.5% | 29.9% | 38.9% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 5.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Phillip Furlong | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 28.7% | 31.0% | 17.4% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 25.1% | 15.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Bitterman | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 15.3% | 29.8% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.