Race 11B

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Asher Green 50.9% 28.4% 11.5% 5.8% 2.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Yuen 13.0% 16.0% 20.7% 19.2% 14.4% 9.5% 5.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Joe Cooner 6.1% 8.5% 11.2% 11.9% 15.4% 19.9% 17.9% 7.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Joseph Bitterman 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 4.3% 17.8% 30.9% 40.5%
Phillip Furlong 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.3% 3.9% 5.0% 8.5% 26.9% 30.1% 18.8%
Kayla Maguire 9.7% 14.5% 15.2% 16.9% 14.7% 15.3% 9.0% 4.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Hannah Forcone 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 1.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.9% 18.7% 31.0% 39.7%
Johnny Leadingham 3.4% 5.7% 6.5% 10.1% 11.9% 14.6% 27.8% 14.8% 4.5% 0.7%
Evelyn Walsh 6.9% 10.4% 13.6% 15.5% 16.8% 16.4% 14.3% 5.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Hartley Meyer 8.6% 13.9% 17.9% 16.2% 17.7% 13.0% 8.8% 3.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.