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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+0.52vs Predicted
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2University of Central Florida-0.52+2.78vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.44+0.33vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34-0.53vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.19-0.80vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.79-0.42vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.95-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Jacksonville University2.170.6%1st Place
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4.78University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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3.33Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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3.47The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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4.2University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.39Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.58University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.71Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 64.2% | 23.5% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 4.7% |
| Joe Seiffert | 11.0% | 23.0% | 23.7% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 9.5% | 21.6% | 22.9% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.8% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 20.3% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Annslee Maloy | 3.1% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 22.2% | 21.1% | 10.6% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 13.6% | 26.7% | 39.3% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 14.2% | 25.5% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.