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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.44+2.25vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.34+1.48vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17-1.51vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.52-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.79+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.19-2.72vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.95-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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3.48The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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1.49Jacksonville University2.170.6%1st Place
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5.42Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.28University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.73Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Seiffert | 11.3% | 25.3% | 22.9% | 19.9% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 10.5% | 18.3% | 25.1% | 20.4% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 64.8% | 24.8% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.0% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 22.5% | 19.9% | 11.7% |
| Julian Larsen | 3.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 24.8% | 37.8% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 6.3% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 27.7% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.