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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+7.41vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+7.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+4.22vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.02+2.89vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.13+7.14vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-1.94vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.38vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.60+0.65vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.38vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93+1.21vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.26vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-2.11vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-3.19vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-7.52vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.77-3.56vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.99-5.73vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.13-2.38vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.16-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Harvard University2.105.1%1st Place
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9.72Northeastern University1.223.9%1st Place
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7.22Boston College2.408.0%1st Place
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6.89Tulane University2.029.3%1st Place
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12.14Fordham University1.132.5%1st Place
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4.06Yale University2.4220.3%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.1%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College1.606.0%1st Place
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9.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.975.1%1st Place
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11.21Tufts University0.933.0%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.5%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College1.513.1%1st Place
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9.81Boston University1.143.6%1st Place
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6.48Georgetown University2.209.7%1st Place
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11.44Florida State University0.772.9%1st Place
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10.27University of Hawaii0.993.1%1st Place
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14.62University of Vermont-0.131.1%1st Place
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13.7Northwestern University0.161.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.3% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 35.1% |
| Grace Bray | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.