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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+0.53vs Predicted
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2University of Central Florida-0.52+2.80vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.34+0.46vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.44-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.19-0.79vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-0.61vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.95-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.79-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Jacksonville University2.170.6%1st Place
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4.8University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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3.46The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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3.33Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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4.21University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.39Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.77Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 63.9% | 23.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 10.4% | 21.2% | 22.5% | 20.3% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Joe Seiffert | 10.7% | 23.3% | 22.9% | 21.2% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.8% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Annslee Maloy | 3.0% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 10.4% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 24.6% | 46.9% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 28.4% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.