Race 10B

old-guard

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Jeff Knowles 14.2% 13.9% 13.4% 10.5% 11.1% 8.6% 6.5% 5.7% 5.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Jonathan Lutz 4.1% 6.0% 6.8% 5.7% 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 6.6% 9.1% 8.7% 7.1% 8.2% 7.3% 2.6% 1.1%
Nathan Rosenberg 9.2% 9.2% 7.3% 10.0% 10.3% 7.7% 8.2% 9.0% 10.1% 6.0% 4.2% 3.9% 2.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Michael Russom 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 4.2% 3.8% 4.1% 3.6% 5.3% 6.4% 6.2% 8.5% 10.2% 12.9% 10.3% 12.4% 3.6%
Jennifer Proctor 4.3% 5.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.7% 7.9% 6.9% 8.1% 8.4% 8.1% 9.0% 9.3% 6.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.7%
Joseph Morris 12.0% 11.8% 11.7% 11.9% 9.8% 8.7% 8.9% 6.1% 6.2% 3.9% 3.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Edward Glackin 7.1% 7.2% 6.5% 7.2% 7.9% 8.1% 8.0% 7.1% 6.9% 8.8% 8.3% 6.3% 5.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Daniel Liberty 6.5% 6.7% 6.8% 7.2% 6.7% 8.2% 7.4% 8.1% 8.7% 7.7% 6.4% 8.7% 5.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Joseph Kelleher 5.1% 6.4% 5.9% 5.1% 7.3% 7.9% 7.0% 8.2% 6.7% 9.0% 8.6% 8.0% 7.4% 3.3% 3.2% 0.9%
David Alfonso 5.5% 6.3% 5.5% 6.2% 7.1% 6.3% 7.8% 7.9% 8.8% 9.8% 8.7% 7.3% 6.2% 3.7% 2.3% 0.6%
John Stokes 14.6% 10.5% 12.0% 9.2% 8.3% 10.4% 9.1% 7.4% 5.9% 4.5% 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Patrick Clancy 9.8% 7.8% 11.2% 9.4% 8.3% 5.8% 8.3% 8.4% 6.8% 6.9% 6.7% 4.1% 3.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Raphael Cattan 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.2% 2.7% 3.6% 4.8% 5.7% 7.8% 9.4% 17.3% 19.5% 15.1%
Erik Olsen 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.8% 1.3% 2.3% 3.5% 5.7% 8.5% 17.3% 53.7%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 2.6% 1.8% 1.8% 3.1% 2.6% 3.0% 5.0% 5.3% 4.8% 6.2% 6.9% 10.6% 11.5% 15.8% 13.2% 5.8%
Katherine Costello 0.9% 1.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 2.8% 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 3.9% 5.0% 6.2% 11.1% 15.3% 23.5% 18.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.