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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+5.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.57+4.10vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+3.48vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+6.76vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.68+0.21vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+3.55vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.37+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.16-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.42+0.92vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79-1.42vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-1.78vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.30-2.88vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.52+1.69vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-2.80vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-6.44vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.37-2.38vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.26-1.54vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College0.85-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Harvard University2.4810.2%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Naval Academy2.5711.1%1st Place
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6.48Roger Williams University2.4010.2%1st Place
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10.76George Washington University1.443.6%1st Place
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5.21Tulane University2.6812.8%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.2%1st Place
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7.57Brown University2.378.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Pennsylvania2.167.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island1.422.8%1st Place
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8.58Cornell University1.795.9%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.624.6%1st Place
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9.12Webb Institute1.305.5%1st Place
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14.69Connecticut College0.521.2%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University1.072.8%1st Place
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8.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.135.5%1st Place
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13.62Florida State University0.371.1%1st Place
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15.46University of Michigan-0.260.4%1st Place
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11.33Eckerd College0.853.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Christian Ebbin | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| William Kulas | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 20.6% | 30.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 3.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 14.8% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 18.8% | 39.5% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.