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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+2.86vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+6.62vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+5.32vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+5.57vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+4.74vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+0.32vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.77+4.40vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.54vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.60-0.54vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51-0.32vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.68vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.99-2.71vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.13-2.18vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.02-8.26vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-4.33vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.16-3.51vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.13-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Yale University2.4221.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston College1.585.5%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University2.105.7%1st Place
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9.57Boston University1.144.9%1st Place
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9.74Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
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6.32Georgetown University2.2010.0%1st Place
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11.4Florida State University0.772.9%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.8%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College1.606.7%1st Place
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9.68Bowdoin College1.513.9%1st Place
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9.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.3%1st Place
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9.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Hawaii0.993.5%1st Place
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11.82Fordham University1.132.5%1st Place
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6.74Tulane University2.028.1%1st Place
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11.67Tufts University0.692.4%1st Place
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13.49Northwestern University0.161.3%1st Place
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14.44University of Vermont-0.131.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 21.1% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% |
| Grace Bray | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 22.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.