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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.12+2.07vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-0.08vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-0.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.68-0.33vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.90-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Texas A&M University-0.120.1%1st Place
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1.92California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.4%1st Place
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2.41California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.3%1st Place
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3.67University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.92Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Progelhof | 15.0% | 20.1% | 24.6% | 23.6% | 16.7% |
| Kyle Farmer | 43.9% | 29.6% | 18.1% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Conner Skewes | 27.9% | 28.4% | 23.5% | 14.9% | 5.3% |
| Sebastien Franck | 7.1% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 29.1% | 32.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.1% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 25.1% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.