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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.12+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.68+1.69vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-0.58vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.90-0.11vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Texas A&M University-0.120.2%1st Place
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3.69University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
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2.42California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.3%1st Place
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3.89Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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1.97California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Progelhof | 16.1% | 19.8% | 24.9% | 23.2% | 16.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 7.3% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 28.5% | 33.6% |
| Conner Skewes | 27.6% | 28.8% | 23.1% | 15.1% | 5.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 26.0% | 42.6% |
| Kyle Farmer | 42.3% | 30.3% | 17.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.