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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.92vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.12+1.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.68+0.69vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.90-0.09vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.5%1st Place
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3.07Texas A&M University-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.69University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.91Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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2.41California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 45.2% | 29.1% | 16.1% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 13.0% | 21.3% | 26.4% | 24.2% | 15.1% |
| Sebastien Franck | 8.3% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 26.8% | 35.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.2% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 25.9% | 43.1% |
| Conner Skewes | 27.3% | 29.4% | 23.0% | 15.9% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.