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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.68+1.69vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-0.59vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.12-0.96vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.90-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.4%1st Place
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3.69University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
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2.41California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.3%1st Place
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3.04Texas A&M University-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.88Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 44.1% | 27.4% | 17.7% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Sebastien Franck | 7.5% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 28.1% | 33.4% |
| Conner Skewes | 27.3% | 29.2% | 23.7% | 14.5% | 5.3% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 14.2% | 22.4% | 24.0% | 24.5% | 14.9% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 25.0% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.