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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.95vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-0.90+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.68+0.68vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.12-0.96vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.4%1st Place
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3.93Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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3.68University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.04Texas A&M University-0.120.1%1st Place
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2.4California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 43.6% | 29.6% | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Mitchell Powers | 5.8% | 8.5% | 15.5% | 27.0% | 43.2% |
| Sebastien Franck | 8.4% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 27.4% | 34.6% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 14.6% | 20.8% | 25.9% | 23.7% | 15.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 27.6% | 29.5% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.