← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.98vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+0.39vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University-0.12+0.05vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.68-0.32vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-0.90-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.98California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.4%1st Place
-
2.39California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.3%1st Place
-
3.05Texas A&M University-0.120.2%1st Place
-
3.68University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
-
3.9Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 43.8% | 28.1% | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Conner Skewes | 27.3% | 29.9% | 23.4% | 15.3% | 4.1% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 15.1% | 18.8% | 26.6% | 24.9% | 14.6% |
| Sebastien Franck | 7.0% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 26.8% | 33.9% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 24.8% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.