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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.95vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.12+1.10vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-0.62vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.90-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.68-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.5%1st Place
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3.1Texas A&M University-0.120.1%1st Place
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2.38California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.3%1st Place
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3.9Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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3.67University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 45.6% | 27.1% | 16.8% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 12.8% | 20.7% | 25.3% | 26.5% | 14.7% |
| Conner Skewes | 27.2% | 31.5% | 22.4% | 13.7% | 5.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.1% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 25.7% | 42.6% |
| Sebastien Franck | 8.3% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 26.7% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.