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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+4.46vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+8.95vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.43vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+5.50vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+6.27vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.15+3.37vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.33vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73-0.15vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.05-0.16vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.71+0.11vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.84-4.80vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-5.30vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.86-6.37vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.05-1.43vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-2.55vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.37-4.50vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-0.54-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Boston College2.5613.8%1st Place
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10.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.0%1st Place
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4.43Yale University2.5517.9%1st Place
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9.5Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
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11.27St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.6%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University1.154.5%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.8%1st Place
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7.85Tulane University1.736.9%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College2.107.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Hawaii1.053.8%1st Place
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11.11Fordham University0.712.6%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College1.847.3%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University1.906.6%1st Place
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7.63Georgetown University1.866.7%1st Place
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13.57Florida State University0.051.3%1st Place
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13.45University of Vermont0.241.2%1st Place
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12.5Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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14.56Northwestern University-0.540.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.9% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Young | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Niah Ford | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 20.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 17.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.