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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+1.42vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-0.07vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.12+0.05vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.90-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.68-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.3%1st Place
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1.93California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.4%1st Place
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3.05Texas A&M University-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.91Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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3.7University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Skewes | 28.4% | 28.6% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 5.9% |
| Kyle Farmer | 43.7% | 30.0% | 18.2% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 14.5% | 19.8% | 26.1% | 25.1% | 14.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 5.3% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 25.1% | 43.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 8.1% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 28.0% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.