Race 1A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Greg Bittle 22.9% 21.2% 20.0% 15.1% 12.0% 6.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Vogel 28.6% 23.9% 20.4% 14.7% 7.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Michels 21.5% 22.2% 21.4% 17.8% 10.7% 4.1% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Clark Davis 8.1% 12.2% 12.9% 19.2% 20.5% 16.9% 7.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Jack Miller 11.3% 11.5% 14.2% 17.5% 22.1% 13.7% 6.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Carly Irwin 3.0% 3.2% 3.9% 5.1% 7.6% 18.2% 24.6% 20.6% 11.1% 2.7%
Avie Krauss 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 1.2% 2.2% 3.9% 8.2% 21.3% 28.4% 33.2%
Jack Rutherford 2.7% 3.5% 5.4% 6.3% 11.8% 21.2% 24.5% 15.8% 7.0% 1.8%
Keegan Aerts 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 3.2% 8.5% 14.5% 22.2% 27.8% 18.8%
Michael Gartlan 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% 1.2% 2.3% 3.5% 9.0% 14.5% 24.8% 43.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.