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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.75+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.05vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-0.33+0.30vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.25-0.84vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.10+2.39vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.54-4.13vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.40vs Predicted
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9Hope College-1.53-2.78vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-2.71-2.00vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-3.35-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Michigan0.750.3%1st Place
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3.05University of Saint Thomas0.470.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Illinois-0.330.1%1st Place
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4.16Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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8.39Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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2.87Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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6.6Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.22Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.0Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Iowa-3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 29.4% | 24.9% | 19.7% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 20.9% | 20.7% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Davis | 10.6% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Miller | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 26.4% | 33.2% |
| Andrew Michels | 23.5% | 23.4% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 17.6% | 26.1% | 20.6% | 10.4% | 3.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 23.5% | 18.5% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 23.3% | 29.1% | 18.2% |
| Michael Gartlan | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 26.7% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.