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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.47+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.36+1.68vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.25+1.91vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.54-0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.75-2.05vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.75+1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-0.33-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-3.35+1.75vs Predicted
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9Hope College-1.53-1.88vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-2.71-1.09vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Saint Thomas0.470.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Notre Dame0.360.1%1st Place
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4.91Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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3.47Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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2.95University of Michigan0.750.3%1st Place
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7.48Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Illinois-0.330.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Iowa-3.350.0%1st Place
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7.12Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.91Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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9.41Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 15.7% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Thuente | 15.0% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Miller | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 19.0% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 26.4% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 23.9% | 21.6% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
| Clark Davis | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gartlan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 15.5% | 25.6% | 43.3% |
| Jack Bergman | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 23.3% | 16.5% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 14.5% | 22.8% | 26.1% | 19.6% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 28.6% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.