Race 4A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Greg Bittle 15.5% 18.5% 17.8% 17.9% 13.6% 10.3% 4.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Miller 8.9% 8.9% 11.6% 12.6% 16.7% 16.7% 14.1% 8.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Billy Vogel 22.1% 21.0% 18.6% 14.2% 12.4% 7.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph Thuente 16.1% 15.1% 15.5% 16.6% 15.9% 11.3% 6.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Clark Davis 9.2% 8.7% 10.9% 12.3% 13.6% 18.9% 14.4% 8.6% 3.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Michael Gartlan 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 1.2% 1.4% 2.0% 3.9% 7.2% 14.7% 22.7% 46.2%
Andrew Michels 22.0% 21.5% 16.1% 14.7% 12.4% 9.0% 2.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Avie Krauss 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 5.4% 9.5% 19.1% 28.5% 31.3%
Jack Bergman 2.6% 2.8% 3.8% 4.4% 5.3% 9.1% 20.8% 24.3% 16.0% 8.4% 2.5%
Carly Irwin 2.4% 1.8% 3.3% 3.7% 4.8% 9.5% 17.3% 23.3% 18.8% 12.5% 2.6%
Keegan Aerts 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% 2.7% 3.7% 7.6% 12.3% 25.6% 27.1% 17.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.