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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.43+1.97vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-1.31+2.56vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.53+2.06vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.45+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas-0.65-1.70vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.22-1.65vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.61-2.05vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.57-1.26vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-4.18-0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-5.14-0.27vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-6.34-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Michigan-0.430.3%1st Place
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4.56Michigan Technological University-1.310.1%1st Place
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5.06Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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4.92Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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3.3University of Saint Thomas-0.650.2%1st Place
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4.35University of Notre Dame-1.220.1%1st Place
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4.95Hope College-1.610.1%1st Place
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6.74Western Michigan University-2.570.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
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10.59Saginaw Valley State University-6.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Stone | 25.3% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 10.3% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 22.6% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 11.0% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigale Airo | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 34.3% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 8.2% | 48.5% | 26.1% | 6.1% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 4.7% | 18.5% | 53.2% | 19.7% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 6.4% | 17.1% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.