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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-1.45+3.88vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-1.22+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.43+0.02vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.31+0.67vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.53-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.65-2.69vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.61-2.08vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.57-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-5.14+0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-4.18-1.16vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-6.34-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Notre Dame-1.220.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Michigan-0.430.3%1st Place
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4.67Michigan Technological University-1.310.1%1st Place
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4.94Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Saint Thomas-0.650.2%1st Place
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4.92Hope College-1.610.1%1st Place
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6.72Western Michigan University-2.570.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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10.6Saginaw Valley State University-6.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 12.4% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 25.3% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 21.7% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigale Airo | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 31.8% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 18.0% | 53.3% | 20.8% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 10.7% | 48.6% | 26.1% | 4.3% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 6.1% | 17.0% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.